Michigan St
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 74.1387Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 23- 6 906 H Boston Col ` ACC ( 3- 9, 69.1) 42-40 913 H Youngst. St 41-24 920 A USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 31-45 1004 A Nebraska B10 ( 7- 6, 78.3) 27-38 1011 H UCLA B10 ( 3- 9, 75.2) 13-38 1018 A Indiana B10 (16- 0, 99.9) 13-38 1025 H Michigan B10 ( 9- 4, 84.2) 20-31 1101 A Minnesota B10 ( 8- 5, 76.8) 20-23 1115 H Penn St B10 ( 7- 6, 85.2) 10-28 1122 A Iowa B10 ( 9- 4, 88.5) 17-20 1129 H Maryland B10 ( 4- 8, 74.8) 38-28
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 H We Michigan 23- 6 17 3 +++ 10.91
906 H Boston Col ` 42-40 2 10 --- -8.26
920 A USC 31-45 -14 -19 0.00
1004 A Nebraska 27-38 -11 -9 -1.60
1011 H UCLA 13-38 -25 4 --- -18.24
1018 A Indiana 13-38 -25 -31 0.00
1025 H Michigan 20-31 -11 -5 --- -6.16
1101 A Minnesota 20-23 -3 -8 ++ 4.93
1115 H Penn St 10-28 -18 -6 --- -8.20
1122 A Iowa 17-20 -3 -20 +++ 11.00
1129 H Maryland 38-28 10 5 ++ 5.38
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 H Boston Col ` 42-40 2 10 --- -8.26 1011 H UCLA 13-38 -25 4 --- -18.24 1025 H Michigan 20-31 -11 -5 --- -6.16 1115 H Penn St 10-28 -18 -6 --- -8.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 829 H We Michigan 23- 6 17 3 +++ 10.91 1122 A Iowa 17-20 -3 -20 +++ 11.00 1101 A Minnesota 20-23 -3 -8 ++ 4.93 1129 H Maryland 38-28 10 5 ++ 5.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 23- 6 -23.59 27.63 -5.26 1.16 51.85
3 H Boston Col ` ( 3- 9, 69.1) 42-40 -30.76 20.46 -5.26 1.16 35.23
3 A USC ( 9- 4, 87.5) 31-45 -12.37 38.85 5.26 1.16 -4.12
3 A Nebraska ( 7- 6, 78.3) 27-38 -21.62 29.60 5.26 1.16 -9.48
3 H UCLA ( 3- 9, 75.2) 13-38 -24.74 26.48 -5.26 1.16 -17.39
3 A Indiana (16- 0, 99.9) 13-38 -0.00 51.22 5.26 1.16 -3.05
3 H Michigan ( 9- 4, 84.2) 20-31 -15.66 35.56 -5.26 1.16 -12.13
3 A Minnesota ( 8- 5, 76.8) 20-23 -23.09 28.13 5.26 1.16 -10.33
3 H Penn St ( 7- 6, 85.2) 10-28 -14.70 36.52 -5.26 1.16 -11.57
3 A Iowa ( 9- 4, 88.5) 17-20 -11.44 39.78 5.26 1.16 -3.58
3 H Maryland ( 4- 8, 74.8) 38-28 -25.12 26.10 -5.26 1.16 48.30
------
63.74
|
winning pts = 135.3838 losing points = -71.6409
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------